Short Creek Measles Risk Calculator

Short Creek Exposure Tool

Based on CDC and Utah/Arizona Health Department Data (Feb 2026)

(Includes Hildale, UT or Colorado City, AZ)

High Fever (>101°F)
Dry Cough / Runny Nose
Red, Watery Eyes
Red Blotchy Rash (starts on face)
CategoryData PointDetails
Total Cases438+Confirmed cases across the UT/AZ border as of Feb 2026.
Vaccination Rate~7.7% – 40%In some local schools, far below the 95% required for herd immunity.
Transmission Rate$R_0$ 12–18One person typically infects 12 to 18 others in unvaccinated groups.
Hospitalization~11%Consistent with national averages for the 2025-2026 surge.

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