HIV Transmission Risk Calculator

HIV Transmission Risk Estimator

Aligned with US CDC, UK (BHIVA/BASHH), ASHM (Australia) & European guidelines

Estimated Risk Per Act
0.00%
Approx. 1 in 72 exposures

Important: If you experienced a possible high-risk exposure within the last 72 hours, contact an emergency room, sexual health clinic, or PEP hotline immediately to assess whether you need PEP (Post-Exposure Prophylaxis).

Understanding how certain actions influence the likelihood of acquiring a specific immunodeficiency virus is key to making informed personal choices. While numbers provide a baseline, the actual probability depends on a complex interplay of biological and behavioral factors.

Key Factors Influencing Exposure

Vulnerability of the Biological Site: Different areas of the body have varying levels of permeable tissue. Mucous membranes, for instance, are much more susceptible to microscopic tears than tougher skin surfaces.

Presence of Other Pathogens: If an individual currently has another untreated infection or inflammation in the contact area, the local defense system is often compromised, significantly increasing the chance of the virus gaining entry.

Viral Intensity: The amount of the pathogen present in the fluid—often referred to as the “load”—is a primary driver. Higher concentrations during the early stages of an undiagnosed infection make acquisition much more probable.

Preventative Measures: Consistent use of physical barriers or specialized daily medications designed for pre-exposure protection can reduce the mathematical likelihood to near zero.

Exposure TypeRisk per 10,000 ActsPercentage Risk
Receptive Anal Sex1381.38%
Insertive Anal Sex110.11%
Receptive Vaginal Sex80.08%
Insertive Vaginal Sex40.04%
Sharing Needles630.63%
Oral SexLow / Rare< 0.01%